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TraderValue Signal Track Record

Every AI-generated signal prediction tracked against real price outcomes. Win rates are resolved nightly using live market data — no cherry-picking, no survivorship bias.

Predictions Tracked
resolved signals
5-Day Win Rate
price moved in predicted direction
10-Day Win Rate
extended hold window
Avg 5D Return
mean outcome across all signals

No resolved predictions yet. Predictions are resolved nightly — check back tomorrow.

Methodology: Predictions are generated from AI assistant responses for paid users. When the AI mentions a symbol setup, the system logs the entry price at the time of the prediction. A win = price moved in the predicted direction within 5 trading days. Outcomes are resolved nightly using Alpaca daily bar data. All records are stored immutably — no retroactive editing.

Frequently Asked Questions

How accurate are TraderValue AI signals?

Every AI-generated signal prediction is tracked against real price data for 5 and 10 trading days. Win rates are updated nightly and published on this page. The track record reflects actual AI assistant responses to paid users — no cherry-picking.

What is tracked in the signal track record?

When a TraderValue AI assistant response mentions a stock setup, the system logs the symbol, direction (bull or bear), SCTR score, and entry price. A nightly resolver fetches Alpaca daily bars and computes the 5-day and 10-day returns. The resolved outcome and win/loss are stored in the ai_predictions table.

What is a win in TraderValue signal predictions?

A win is defined as price moving in the predicted direction within 5 trading days. For a bull prediction, outcome_5d > 0% = win. For a bear prediction, outcome_5d < 0% = win. The 5-day window captures the primary T1 ignition setup horizon.

📡 Live Signals
Today's T1 ignitions — updated every 30 minutes
📊 Win Rate Data
7-year backtest: 55% bull · 44% chop · 38% bear by regime
📖 Signal Guide
How T1 ignitions, SCTR, bull counts, and ATR targets work
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