Signal Comparison

IWM vs SPY — Signal Comparison

SPY regime: 🟢 Bull RegimeT1 win rate this regime: 55%
Verdict

As of May 29, 2026, both IWM and SPY have active EdgeOS signals. SPY leads with a higher SCTR score. T1 ignition signals have a 55% historical win rate in the current bull regime (799k signals, 7-year backtest). Use extension score and proximity to trigger to prioritize between the two setups.

IWMBull Count 2
$292.03
SCTR Score
9.2
Bullish (>9)
Trend
Confirmed
Confirmed Bull
Ext Score
Tight
0.30
Win Rate
55%
T1 · bull regime
Buy Trigger$291.52
+1 ATR Target$295.23
Stop Level$289.22
Full IWM analysis →
SPYBull Count 6
$754.60
SCTR Score
9.7
Bullish (>9)
Trend
Confirmed
Confirmed Bull
Ext Score
Mod
0.60
Win Rate
55%
T1 · bull regime
Buy Trigger$752.15
+1 ATR Target$757.60
Stop Level$748.78
Full SPY analysis →

IWM vs SPY — Comparison Table

MetricIWMSPY
Price$292.03$754.60
Change %
SCTR Score9.29.7
SignalBull Count 2Bull Count 6
TrendConfirmed BullConfirmed Bull
Ext ScoreTightMod
Trigger Price$291.52$752.15

How EdgeOS Signals Work for Stock Comparison

EdgeOS (Edge Operating System) scans ~3,000 liquid US equities on the daily timeframe using the SCTR score (Stock Chart Technical Rank, 0–100) as the primary momentum filter. A T1 ignition fires when: (1) the bull counter crosses from 0 to 1, (2) SCTR is above 9, and (3) price closes above the Saty ATR +0.236 trigger level. This combination produced a 55% win rate in bull regimes across 799,000 signals over 7 years.

When comparing two stocks, SCTR matters for ranking — not as a hard entry gate. The 7-year backtest showed that lower SCTR stocks in confirmed bull trends outperform high-SCTR stocks (18.7% vs 14.7% progression rate to the +1 ATR target). SCTR measures accumulated momentum, while the signal itself measures the timing of the momentum shift.

The extension score is critical for comparing two active signals: a Tight (0–0.4) extension means the stock is near its Saty ATR baseline with room to run, while an Extended (>1.2) score indicates the stock has moved far from equilibrium and carries higher risk. When both IWM and SPY have active signals, prefer the one with a lower extension score.

Frequently Asked Questions — IWM vs SPY

Which is a better buy, IWM or SPY?
As of May 29, 2026, both IWM and SPY have active EdgeOS signals. SPY leads with a higher SCTR score. T1 ignition signals have a 55% historical win rate in the current bull regime (799k signals, 7-year backtest). Use extension score and proximity to trigger to prioritize between the two setups.
What is IWM's current trading signal?
IWM currently has a Bull Count 2 signal on the daily timeframe. SCTR is 9.2 (Bullish (>9)). Trend: Confirmed Bull. Buy trigger $291.52 · Target $295.23 · Stop $289.22.
What is SPY's SCTR score?
SPY's SCTR score is 9.7. Above 9 — bullish momentum zone. EdgeOS bull signals require SCTR above 9.
What is the historical win rate for T1 signals?
T1 ignition signals have a 55% win rate in bull regimes, 44% in choppy markets, and 38% in bear regimes, based on 799,000 signals from a 7-year backtest. The current SPY regime is 🟢 Bull Regime, so the adjusted T1 win rate is 55%. These numbers apply when entering within 1% of the buy trigger price with proper stop placement below the lower trigger level.

Signal data updated every 5 minutes from live EdgeOS scans · For informational purposes only · Not investment advice · Past performance does not guarantee future results.